Category

Politics Prediction Markets — Live Kalshi Odds & AI Analysis

Kalshi's politics markets put a real-money number on elections, confirmations, executive orders, and the noise in between. Every market is a yes-or-no question that settles to 100 cents or 0, so the price is the crowd's bet on the odds. Bubba reads the latest reporting, the polling, the calendar, and the base rates, then prices the question himself. Where Bubba's number and the crowd's price disagree is the gap. We don't tell anyone how to vote or how to trade — we just show the read, name the sources, and put every call on the public ledger.

Bubba's track record · Politics
Graded calls
2
Hits
0
Hit rate
0%
Brier score
0.102

Lower Brier = better calibrated. Full ledger: /track-record.

Top politics markets right now

Where Bubba disagrees with the crowd

See every market where Bubba's number and Kalshi's price disagree most — across all categories.

View the Biggest Gaps →

Information only. Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Estimates can be wrong.