Category
Politics Prediction Markets — Live Kalshi Odds & AI Analysis
Kalshi's politics markets put a real-money number on elections, confirmations, executive orders, and the noise in between. Every market is a yes-or-no question that settles to 100 cents or 0, so the price is the crowd's bet on the odds. Bubba reads the latest reporting, the polling, the calendar, and the base rates, then prices the question himself. Where Bubba's number and the crowd's price disagree is the gap. We don't tell anyone how to vote or how to trade — we just show the read, name the sources, and put every call on the public ledger.
Lower Brier = better calibrated. Full ledger: /track-record.
Top politics markets right now
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Pete ButtigiegKXPRESPERSON-28-PBUT3¢YES
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? — Before Jan 1, 2027KXTAIWANLVL4-27JAN016¢YES
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $600 billion to $899 billionKXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-749B3¢YES
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $100 billion to $299 billionKXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-199B4¢YES
- Which party will win the next UK general election? — Reform partyKXUKPARTY-29-R34¢YES
- Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-4516¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Amul ThaparKXSCOURT-29-AT9¢YES
- Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term? — Samuel AlitoKXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA68¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Aileen CannonKXSCOURT-29-AC10¢YES
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Ron DeSantisKXPRESPERSON-28-RDES4¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Ted CruzKXSCOURT-29-TED4¢YES
- Who will Trump pardon? — Sean CombsKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM44¢YES
- Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045KXPERSONPRESMAM-4514¢YES
- Who will be Trump's next Attorney General? — Todd BlancheKXNEXTAG-29-TBLA73¢YES
- Who will Trump pardon? — Ghislaine MaxwellKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-GMAX35¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — D-House, R-Senate, D-PresidentPOWER-28-DH-RS-DP12¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — D-House, R-Senate, R-PresidentPOWER-28-DH-RS-RP10¢YES
- EU loses a member before 2030? — By 2030EUEXIT-3013¢YES
- Who will be the next new Speaker of the House? — Hakeem JeffriesKXNEXTSPEAKER-31-HJEF79¢YES
- Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election? — Before 2035KXBRUVSEAT-354¢YES
- Which party will win the next UK general election? — Conservative partyKXUKPARTY-29-C18¢YES
- Who will the next Pope be? — Peter ErdoKXNEWPOPE-70-PERD3¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — R-House, R-Senate, D-PresidentPOWER-28-RH-RS-DP4¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — R-House, D-Senate, D-PresidentPOWER-28-RH-DS-DP3¢YES
- Will Trump pardon any members of his family? — YesKXTRUMPPARDONFAMILY-29JAN2068¢YES
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? — Before Jan 1, 2030KXTAIWANLVL4-30JAN0144¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Mike LeeKXSCOURT-29-ML5¢YES
- Which party will win the next UK general election? — Green partyKXUKPARTY-29-GRE7¢YES
- Who will the next Pope be? — Pierbattista PizzaballaKXNEWPOPE-70-PPIZ5¢YES
- Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan? — Before Jan 1, 2029KXTAIWANLVL4-29JAN0136¢YES
Where Bubba disagrees with the crowd
See every market where Bubba's number and Kalshi's price disagree most — across all categories.
View the Biggest Gaps →Information only. Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Estimates can be wrong.