Category
Politics Prediction Markets — Live Kalshi Odds & AI Analysis
Kalshi's politics markets put a real-money number on elections, confirmations, executive orders, and the noise in between. Every market is a yes-or-no question that settles to 100 cents or 0, so the price is the crowd's bet on the odds. Bubba reads the latest reporting, the polling, the calendar, and the base rates, then prices the question himself. Where Bubba's number and the crowd's price disagree is the gap. We don't tell anyone how to vote or how to trade — we just show the read, name the sources, and put every call on the public ledger.
Lower Brier = better calibrated. Full ledger: /track-record.
Top politics markets right now
- Will Trump expand the H1-B program? — Before 2029KXH1B-2924¢YES
- How much will the US acquire Greenland for? — $100 billion to $299 billionKXGREENLANDPRICE-29JAN21-199B3¢YES
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Angela RaynerKXNEXTUKPM-30-AR6¢YES
- Will Alberta vote to secede from Canada? — Before the next general electionKXALBERTAREFYES-2917¢YES
- How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 2KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-231¢YES
- Will Nick Fuentes become President of the United States before 2045? — Before 2045KXPERSONPRESFUENTES-4514¢YES
- How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 0KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-018¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Aileen CannonKXSCOURT-29-AC12¢YES
- How much government spending will Trump cut before his term ends? — At least 250 billionKXGOVTCUTS-28-25010¢YES
- Who will Trump pardon? — Sean CombsKXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-SCOM36¢YES
- Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Labor? — Keith SonderlingKXNEXTLABORSEC-29-KSON52¢YES
- How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm? — 3KXNEWSCOTUSCONF-29JAN20-39¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Andrew OldhamKXSCOURT-29-AO18¢YES
- Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election? — Before 2035KXBRUVSEAT-357¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — D-House, R-Senate, R-PresidentPOWER-28-DH-RS-RP11¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — D-House, R-Senate, D-PresidentPOWER-28-DH-RS-DP14¢YES
- Which party will win the next UK general election? — Conservative partyKXUKPARTY-29-C14¢YES
- Who will the next Pope be? — Pietro ParolinKXNEWPOPE-70-PPAR5¢YES
- Who will the next Pope be? — Peter ErdoKXNEWPOPE-70-PERD3¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — James HoKXSCOURT-29-JH16¢YES
- Who will be the next Supreme Court justice? — Ted CruzKXSCOURT-29-TED7¢YES
- Which party will win the next UK general election? — Green partyKXUKPARTY-29-GRE4¢YES
- Which G7 leader will leave next? — Friedrich MerzKXG7LEADEROUT-45JAN01-FMER3¢YES
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Shabana MahmoodKXNEXTUKPM-30-SMAH8¢YES
- Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Volodymyr ZelenskyyKXTIMEDECADE20S-30-VZEL40¢YES
- Who will Time name as Person of the Decade? — Elon MuskKXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS36¢YES
- 2028: Who will win the Presidency, House, and Senate? — R-House, D-Senate, D-PresidentPOWER-28-RH-DS-DP4¢YES
- Who will be Trump's next Director of National Intelligence? — Aaron LukasKXNEXTODNI-29-ALUK3¢YES
- Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? — Before 2029KXTRUMPSNL-2917¢YES
- Who will the next Pope be? — Pierbattista PizzaballaKXNEWPOPE-70-PPIZ4¢YES
Where Bubba disagrees with the crowd
See every market where Bubba's number and Kalshi's price disagree most — across all categories.
View the Biggest Gaps →Information only. Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Estimates can be wrong.