Category
Weather Prediction Markets — Live Kalshi Odds & AI Analysis
Weather markets on Kalshi let the crowd price hurricane landfalls, record highs and lows, monthly snowfall, and named-storm counts. The price is the crowd's bet on what nature actually does. Bubba pulls NOAA, NWS, ECMWF, and the latest model runs, then prices the question himself. The gap is where Bubba's read of the model spread and the crowd's price come apart. We don't predict the weather — we read what the official services are publishing and name every source.
Top weather markets right now
- US meets its climate goals? — By 2025USCLIMATE-20257¢YES
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? — Before 2030KXEARTHQUAKEJAPAN-3059¢YES
- EV market share in 2030? — Above 20%EVSHARE-30JAN-2064¢YES
- EV market share in 2030? — Above 50%EVSHARE-30JAN-5024¢YES
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — HydropowerKXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-HYDROPOWER3¢YES
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — GasKXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-GAS8¢YES
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — CoalKXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-COAL12¢YES
- EV market share in 2030? — Above 10%EVSHARE-30JAN-1088¢YES
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — OilKXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-OIL59¢YES
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050? — Before 2050KXWARMING-5076¢YES
- EU meets its 2030 climate goals? — By 2030EUCLIMATE-203048¢YES
- EV market share in 2030? — Above 30%EVSHARE-30JAN-3041¢YES
- India meets its 2030 climate goals? — By 2030INDIACLIMATE-3069¢YES
- US meets its climate goals? — By 2030USCLIMATE-203017¢YES
- Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035? — Before 2035KXEARTHQUAKECALIFORNIA-3525¢YES
- Will a supervolcano erupt before 2050? — Before Jan 1, 2050KXERUPTSUPER-0-50JAN0124¢YES
- What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030? — SolarKXPRIMEENGCONSUMPTION-30-SOLAR3¢YES
Where Bubba disagrees with the crowd
See every market where Bubba's number and Kalshi's price disagree most — across all categories.
View the Biggest Gaps →Information only. Not financial, investment, or trading advice. Estimates can be wrong.