Public stats
Bubba's Edge — Public Prediction Stats
Live, ungameable stats from Bubba's public ledger. One official Bubba estimate per market, graded against the real Kalshi settlement. Copy-paste quotable. Updated .
Graded calls
58
Total Bubba estimates resolved by a real Kalshi settlement.
Hits
22
Calls where Bubba's verdict matched the eventual YES/NO outcome.
Hit rate
38%
Hits divided by graded calls.
Brier score
0.251
Calibration metric. 0.00 = perfect, 0.25 = a coin flip. Lower is better.
By category
| Category | Graded | Hits | Hit rate | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Culture | 7 | 4 | 57% | 0.265 |
| Politics | 18 | 6 | 33% | 0.310 |
| Sports | 32 | 11 | 34% | 0.222 |
| uncategorized | 1 | 1 | 100% | 0.000 |
How to cite these numbers
- Link this page:
https://bubbasedge.com/stats - Note the "updated" timestamp at the top.
- Attribute as "Bubba's Edge (Apex Amplify, Inc.)".
Full graded ledger: /track-record. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Information only — never advice.